Supercomputer predicts Premier League table as title, top four and relegation races end
As the Premier League season comes to a close, various stories must be resolved, including who wins it all, which teams finish in the top four, and who will not be back next season.
Manchester City will reduce the gap on league leaders Arsenal, according to Mirror Football’s supercomputer, but the Gunners will hang on to win the title.
With about ten games remaining after the international break, Arsenal is presently eight points ahead of Manchester City, with 69 points from 28 games, while City has 61 points from one fewer game.
Mikel Arteta’s side has been in fantastic form this season and has created a big advantage heading into the final stretch of the league season, but they are far from out of the picture.
City is the only challengers with a genuine possibility of preventing a title parade in North London in May, but with Pep Guardiola’s side likely to be without star signing and goal machine Erling Haaland for their forthcoming encounter with Liverpool, Arsenal has the upper hand at this stage.
Arsenal has added former City players Gabriel Jesus and Oleksandr Zinchenko this season, and with Jesus returning to full fitness, Mirror Football’s supercomputer predicts that the title will return to London for the first time since Chelsea won it in 2017.
The Supercomputer, which repeatedly simulated the remaining Premier League fixtures based on the season’s outcomes thus far, produced a final league table in which Arsenal took first place with an astounding 95 points.
City finished second, reducing the gap to five points and finishing on 90, but did not win the championship. Manchester United finished third, with Eric Ten Hag’s resurgent Red Devils expected to finish with 74 points.
The race for the final Champions League spot was expected to be close, with Tottenham (69 points) narrowly edging out Liverpool (69), while Newcastle and Brighton finished tied on 65 points to secure the final European places.
Brentford missed out on a top-eight finish despite finishing with 57 points, beating Aston Villa (55) and Fulham (51). (54 ).
With projections based solely on this season’s performance, Chelsea might finish as low as thirteenth after a disastrous campaign. But even the most gloomy Blues supporter will be hoping for more than the simulation’s awful 47 points.
Things are set to remain extremely tight at the bottom of the table, with eight sides forecast to fall short of the key 40 points required to assure Premier League survival. Leicester City is not among them, as the simulation indicated that despite now lying in 17th place with 25 points, the Foxes will come back and finish 14th with 42 points, which is surely optimistic.
Southampton, predictably, will continue at the bottom of the table, ending with an average of 30 points across all simulations. Yet, during one simulation, the Saints finished as high as 13th, which would be an astonishing feat if it were to come true.
According to the supercomputer, Everton and Nottingham Forest will join them in the Championship next season. The Toffees finished 19th with 32 points, while Forest was equal with West Ham on 34 points, but the Hammers’ considerably better goal difference kept them up by a hair’s breadth.
Bournemouth (35), Crystal Palace (36), and Wolves (36) all finished less than one win ahead of Forest, while Leeds United finished with 38 points. This does illustrate that this year’s relegation battle is one of the closest in history, with every club predicted to survive in certain simulations.
Fans who are dissatisfied with the supercomputer’s projection for their team can take heart from its preseason predictions. Based on past year’s results, it predicted Liverpool would win the Premier League in June, while league leaders Arsenal had only a 59% probability of finishing in the top four.
Final Table Predictions
(Average points tally across all simulations)
Arsenal – 95
Manchester City – 90
Manchester United – 74
Tottenham Hotspur – 69
Liverpool – 66
Newcastle United – 65
Brighton & Hove Albion – 65
Brentford – 57
Aston Villa – 55
Fulham – 54
Chelsea – 47
Leicester City – 42
Leeds United – 38
Wolverhampton Wanderers – 36
Crystal Palace – 36
Bournemouth – 35
West Ham United – 34
Nottingham Forest – 34
Everton – 32
Southampton – 30